find_bruce wrote:fat and old wrote:biker jk wrote:
Your Spanish speakers are 30, 40 and 66 to 1 for the win, respectively.
I don't understand why the bookies have Porte at second favourite. Surely Nibali and Bardet are more likely to do better than Porte.
You're being rorted. Bet 365 has them at 23, 41 and 18 respectively Porte is 2nd at 4.50 then Quintana at 8.00
I reckon 20 bucks on Bernal each way for $1,040.00 is pretty good.
You might want to check your maths as to who is being rorted F&O - last time I checked it was much better for a punter to put their money where the odds were longer.
As for why Porte is 2nd favourite, while bookies set the initial market, they then follow the bets to try & keep a balanced book - more money on 1
nagrider means the odds get shorter, if few people back that rider, the odds go out. If Porte's odds don't go out, its because people are backing him at those odds. You already know what I think of those people
Yeah...this is why my sole bet in my entire life was 5c in a Canberra pokie in 1982
I still reckon Bernal is worth 20 bucks. Something tells me he's Sky's new Froomay Vuelta '11/Wiggins TDF '12, and they won't make that mistake again