The Great Flouro Fallacy
- wombatK
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The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby wombatK » Sat Aug 06, 2016 10:47 am
Somebody has to do something, and it's just incredibly pathetic that it has to be us -Jerry Garcia
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby Leaf T » Sat Aug 06, 2016 12:03 pm
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby bigfriendlyvegan » Sat Aug 06, 2016 2:01 pm
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby trailgumby » Sat Aug 06, 2016 3:32 pm
If you ain't looking for it, you don't see it.
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby duncanm » Sat Aug 06, 2016 3:46 pm
yup -- SMIDSY is mostly SMIWLtrailgumby wrote: If you ain't looking for it, you don't see it.
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby Uncle Just » Sat Aug 06, 2016 4:58 pm
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby DavidS » Sat Aug 06, 2016 5:10 pm
I'll keep riding in my non-flouro cycling clothes and use powerful lights at night.
Another aspect of the article was interesting too. Something we all no doubt knew, which is that the more bikes on the road, the more drivers will look for bikes and the safer it is for cyclists. So, I suppose it would be a good idea not to introduce laws which discourage cycling, that might actually make it safer. Would seem a better approach than introducing large fines for cyclists (discouraging) or MHLs (proven to reduce cyclist number).
DS
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby Mulger bill » Sat Aug 06, 2016 7:43 pm
I prefer to stand out by riding in a place and manner that puts my in a place where smokeboxers expect to see something.
It's also a good idea to move a little unpredictably when it can be done safely.
One bit of kit I'll always have to hand when things get grey tho is my reflective ankle strap. That motion stands out like the proverbial.
London Boy 29/12/2011
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby trailgumby » Sat Aug 06, 2016 7:45 pm
The heels of all my shoes have a patch of that stuff, and my winter tights have large patches of it.They're branded "Flashlight" for a reasonMulger bill wrote:When everybody's in HiViz then nobody's in HiViz, you have to stand out to be noticed.
I prefer to stand out by riding in a place and manner that puts my in a place where smokeboxers expect to see something.
It's also a good idea to move a little unpredictably when it can be done safely.
One bit of kit I'll always have to hand when things get grey tho is my reflective ankle strap. That motion stands out like the proverbial.
Doesn't stop the punishment passers though
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby duncanm » Sat Aug 06, 2016 7:49 pm
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby find_bruce » Sat Aug 06, 2016 8:15 pm
Yep, its "the Homer" all over - the ball on your antenna so you can find your car - every car should have one.Mulger bill wrote:When everybody's in HiViz then nobody's in HiViz, you have to stand out to be noticed.
I prefer to stand out by riding in a place and manner that puts my in a place where smokeboxers expect to see something.
It's also a good idea to move a little unpredictably when it can be done safely.
One bit of kit I'll always have to hand when things get grey tho is my reflective ankle strap. That motion stands out like the proverbial.
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby BianchiCam » Sat Aug 06, 2016 9:21 pm
Wearing bright colours imo does bugger all for some of our 'licenced brethren'
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby exadios » Sat Aug 06, 2016 9:50 pm
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby OldBloke » Sat Aug 06, 2016 10:41 pm
http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/bike- ... qiwce.html
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby Thoglette » Sat Aug 06, 2016 11:56 pm
I'll see your anecdote and raise you a bad dose of confirmation bias. (Translation: mostly bollocks, but as long as _you_ feel happier)duncanm wrote:The one thing that has noticeably worked for me is running front (and rear) flashers at all times.
Hear, hear!exadios wrote: It is necessary to teach people how to look and for this to be tested.
p.s. go and read up on what's known as inattention blindness.
p.p.s. If you can't be bothered, count the passes in this video https://youtu.be/vJG698U2Mvo. (Daniels and Chabris 1999)
p.p.p.s Yes, if you make as much blue-and-red flashing as a police car a proportion of drivers are less likely to totally ignore you. But, even before pokemon, this wasn't fool proof
"People are worthy of respect, ideas are not." Peter Ellerton, UQ
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby Xplora » Sun Aug 07, 2016 6:10 pm
Did you read the article? IT DOES NOT WORK. People are incapable of the task.exadios wrote:It is necessary to teach people how to look and for this to be tested.
You can teach people to be extra careful of opening their door and always check for cyclists and cars and buses etc, but they will still make mistakes. A lot. This is because people do not engage their brains to manage their environment more than necessary. Necessary for THEM, not necessary for us.
The smart play is to teach people to ride away from doors (because you don't drive that close either) and teach drivers that they are expected to drive at the speed limit but they have an obligation to slow down when there is slower traffic in front of them. People make mistakes, and no amount of training can prevent all risk.
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby exadios » Sun Aug 07, 2016 8:14 pm
Yes, I comprehended the article. It simply states that those who have not been trained how to scan cannot see the obvious.Xplora wrote:Did you read the article? IT DOES NOT WORK. People are incapable of the task.exadios wrote:It is necessary to teach people how to look and for this to be tested.
You can teach people to be extra careful of opening their door and always check for cyclists and cars and buses etc, but they will still make mistakes. A lot. This is because people do not engage their brains to manage their environment more than necessary. Necessary for THEM, not necessary for us.
The smart play is to teach people to ride away from doors (because you don't drive that close either) and teach drivers that they are expected to drive at the speed limit but they have an obligation to slow down when there is slower traffic in front of them. People make mistakes, and no amount of training can prevent all risk.
I did not say that people should be taught that they should look but that they should be trained how to look. There is a distinction.
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby Xplora » Sun Aug 07, 2016 8:23 pm
Defensive driving principles have succeeded because they expect failure.
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby yugyug » Mon Aug 08, 2016 12:51 am
Ha. I think your comment in this thread has gone about as unnoticed as a gorilla on a basketball court...Uncle Just wrote:I'm sure many celiacs would disagree but for me this one rings true...The Great Fluoro fallacy.
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby duncanm » Mon Aug 08, 2016 11:35 am
Please note my bolding.Thoglette wrote:I'll see your anecdote and raise you a bad dose of confirmation bias. (Translation: mostly bollocks, but as long as _you_ feel happier)duncanm wrote:The one thing that has noticeably worked for me is running front (and rear) flashers at all times.
You may consider it anecdotal, but if I could be bothered running flashers and not on alternate days and counting them, there would be a statistically significant difference in the number of SMIDSYs I had.
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby duncanm » Mon Aug 08, 2016 11:46 am
Kwan and Mapstone, 2004: Visibility aids for pedestrians and cyclists: a systematic review of randomised controlled trials
3.1. Daytime visibility
There were 12 trials which compared the effectiveness of daytime visibility aids (Cole and Hughes, 1984; Hughes and
Cole, 1986; Hanson and Dickson, 1963; Michon et al., 1969; Turner et al., 1997; Watts, 1980; Watts, 1984a; Zwahlen
and Vel, 1994; Zwahlen and Schnell, 1997) involving 294 participants. Fluorescent colours improved detection and recognition distance, frequency and reaction time in eight trials (Cole and Hughes, 1984; Hughes and Cole, 1986; Hanson and Dickson, 1963; Michon et al., 1969; Turner et al., 1997; Watts, 1984a; Zwahlen and Vel, 1994; Zwahlen and Schnell, 1997) and only failed to increase detection in one trial (Watts, 1980).
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby gorilla monsoon » Mon Aug 08, 2016 4:34 pm
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby human909 » Mon Aug 08, 2016 5:05 pm
Overall all high vis can help. But it will still often not compensate for the bigger issue of people simply not looking for cyclists. This morning, daylight, a truck initially moved to turn right in front of me. He was looking for cars clear and simply. He saw me at the last minute while I was doing wavey "hello I'm here motions".... (I had plenty of room to take action had he not seen me.)
This is what I do. And mostly I do find inner city Melbourne drivers are good now. Bit different on the weekends or in the 'burbs...Mulger bill wrote:I prefer to stand out by riding in a place and manner that puts my in a place where smokeboxers expect to see something.
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby Scott_C » Mon Aug 08, 2016 5:45 pm
Of note, from this alternative study:duncanm wrote:You all may want to read the alternate view, too..
Kwan and Mapstone, 2004: Visibility aids for pedestrians and cyclists: a systematic review of randomised controlled trials
One of the studies that is the topic of the news article did look at the effect of visibility on collisions and found no link between increased visibility and whether or not a cyclist is involved in a collision. Although this study was undertaken in a rural area of NZ where there would be little visual clutter in the first place.We did not find any randomised controlled trials or controlled before-and-after trials which compared the effect of visibility aids on the occurrence of pedestrian and cyclist–motor vehicle collision. The effect of visibility aids on pedestrian and cyclist safety therefore remains unknown
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Re: The Great Flouro Fallacy
Postby wombatK » Mon Aug 08, 2016 8:43 pm
It gets a bit difficult to do a randomised controlled trial when there is possibly fatal outcomes involved. These are situations where a lower level of evidence has to be accepted.Scott_C wrote: Of note, from this alternative study:One of the studies that is the topic of the news article did look at the effect of visibility on collisions and found no link between increased visibility and whether or not a cyclist is involved in a collision. Although this study was undertaken in a rural area of NZ where there would be little visual clutter in the first place.We did not find any randomised controlled trials or controlled before-and-after trials which compared the effect of visibility aids on the occurrence of pedestrian and cyclist–motor vehicle collision. The effect of visibility aids on pedestrian and cyclist safety therefore remains unknown
It's a significant point that the study was done in a rural area, where it's not as challenging visually for motorists.
Yet when it comes to roadside worker safety, it would be a pretty foolhardly supervisor who didn't enforce hi-vis clothing (or the higher grade reflective material at night) for the workers. My practical experience over many years of driving is that workers in such clothing are much easier to see and avoid than ones dressed in dark clothing. And that applies equally in the city and out on lonely country roads.
The only reservation I've had is a few recent instance of nightworks on the M5 motorway where there were so many bright and flashing lights and reflective clothing surfaces, it was difficult to discern where it was safe to drive. It was almost like the aim was to bamboozle or dedazzle drivers into slowing to a crawl. In the long run, that'll come back to bight them -- it only takes one driver who freaks out and swerves or accelerates instead of hitting the brakes when blinded or bamboozled.
For the same reason, it's important to make sure your high-powered led lights aren't going to blind oncoming drivers too.
Somebody has to do something, and it's just incredibly pathetic that it has to be us -Jerry Garcia
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