biker jk wrote:
Nice try but it was a headwind according to Valverde and others. Nibali is climbing at the limits of plausible performances but doing it day after day which frankly leads me to be very suspicious.
The fact that basically every cyclist who has achieved power outputs beyond 6 W/kg has done so with doping. Between the mid-1990s and the mid-2000s, the kinds of performances we see today (and in 2013) were achieved only with doping and so to join that company invites the possibility that the modern rider is also doping.
http://sportsscientists.com/2014/07/the ... -the-tour/
1- The site you linked to speaks only of "rumours" of headwinds. The Weather Channel says that it was west north west*. Looking at Google maps it appears that it was therefore downwind (or crosswind) for most of the stage, upwind for a bit, followed by a significant amount of downwind again as the course curled around and rose up, to where the wind is normally stronger.
The course zig-zags back upwind for short sections, of course, and on a mountainside you are going to get gusts and lulls. But I checked the SBS footage again and the flags (the stationary ones, of course, not those waved by fans) do show what looks like a significant tailwind. Mountain winds are very fluky but given that they are so critical in assessing power outputs, surely their effects cannot be ignored or dismissed without cause.
2- The site you linked to says things like;
* "The performance neither proves nor disproves doping."
* reasonable assumptions about Vo2 max etc allows one to classify Nibali's performance as "plausible".
* "So keep asking the question,
but without judgment."
* "Overall, the graph above, much like the Hautacam performance, gives you two possible interpretations, one optimistic and the other cynical."
" "You can look at this as a signal of positive change in cycling. If the dominant rider in the race, doing what I really do believe was close to maximal effort for most of the climb, is over two minutes behind a group of known dopers of the 1990s, then we are clearly in a better situation than we were then."
* The quote you gave in the post says only that Nibs' performance "invites the possibility". It does NOT say there is proof.
You want to be suspicious? Fine, it's understandable. So is believing that he is fine. I'm not calling it either way, just saying that I saw quite a bit of tailwind and that may have affected the performance.
EDIT - it may have said NNW; given the course it's not relevant.