2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
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2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby MichaelB » Thu Sep 20, 2018 8:55 am
So who's gonna win ?
Many are talking Nibali, but his Vuelta was quiet, "but that's part of the build up", and so was Porte. Quintana seems to be out of it.
CN has Moscon as an outside pick - that'd be a popular win . Not.
I honestly don't know, but gonna watch it !!
Hope Rohan gets the ITT - he's flying atm.
- find_bruce
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby find_bruce » Thu Sep 20, 2018 10:10 am
- Alejandro Valverde 4.00
Julian Alaphilippe 6.50
Vincenzo Nibali 13.00
Simon Yates 13.00
Thibaut Pinot 17.00
Primoz Roglic 17.00
Adam Yates 17.00
Michal Kwiatkowski 21.00
Wout Poels 23.00
Gianni Moscon 31.00
Mikel Landa 31.00
Enric Mas Nicolau 36.00
Daniel Martin 36.00
Rigoberto Uran 36.00
Tom Dumoulin 36.00
Romain Bardet 36.00
Peter Sagan 36.00
Miguel Angel Lopez 36.00
Tim Wellens 36.00
Michael Woods 41.00
Jakob Fuglsang 41.00
Bob Jungels 41.00
Rafal Majka 51.00
Tony Gallopin 51.00
Sergio Luis Henao 51.00
Richie Porte 51.00
Greg Van Avermaet 51.00
My money would be on Alaphilippe. Pinot seems to be the other form rider. If Simon Yates or Mas can maintain their form from the Vuelta they are a good chance.
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby redsonic » Thu Sep 20, 2018 10:16 am
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby Derny Driver » Thu Sep 20, 2018 12:34 pm
1. Alaphillipe
2. Kwiatkovski
3. Sagan
4. Valverde
5. Roglic
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby RobertL » Thu Sep 20, 2018 2:47 pm
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby MichaelB » Thu Sep 20, 2018 4:06 pm
redsonic wrote:I was really wondering what this thread was about until I realised you replaced a "C" with an "R" in the thread title...
It World Road Race Championship. Isn't it ?
Nope, and neither is Gee. Announced a while ago.RobertL wrote:So, Froome's not racing it at all?
I'd be happy to see JA win. He'd race well in the Rainbow Stripes
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby redsonic » Thu Sep 20, 2018 8:33 pm
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby MichaelB » Thu Sep 20, 2018 8:39 pm
it doesn’t matter, as long as certain people don’t win ....redsonic wrote:Sorry, thought it was world road cycling championships
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby find_bruce » Fri Sep 21, 2018 7:12 am
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby vosadrian » Fri Sep 21, 2018 2:46 pm
I have Kwiatozki as second choice.
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby bianchi928 » Fri Sep 21, 2018 2:49 pm
If Richie as plan A doesn't work, maybe Haig as plan b might.
I know this thread is about the RR but I am hopeful Rohan Dennis get's it done in the TT.
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby MichaelB » Fri Sep 21, 2018 3:45 pm
+1 for Rohan. Jai Hindley is in U23 Mens and he did really well at Vuelta
Hope also that Spratt does well and that ANY Aussie does well too.
List of Aussies ;
Men’s Road Race
Simon Clarke
Rohan Dennis
Jack Haig
Chris Hamilton
Damien Howson
Richie Porte
Robert Power
Rory Sutherland
Men’s Time Trial
Rohan Dennis
Women’s Road Race
Grace Brown
Brodie Chapman
Tiffany Cromwell
Shara Gillow
Lucy Kennedy
Sarah Roy
Amanda Spratt
U23 Men’s Road Race
Lucas Hamilton
Jai Hindley
Callum Scotson
Robert Stannard
Michael Storer
James Whelan
U23 Men’s Time Trial
Callum Scotson
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby find_bruce » Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:28 pm
How good is the Columbian team - no Chaves nor Egan Bernal, but they still have Lopez, Uran, Sergio Henao, and Quintana, plus some strong workers such as Acacona.
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby find_bruce » Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:34 pm
While I'd love to see Rohan Dennis take it out, hard to look past Dumoulin
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby MichaelB » Sat Sep 22, 2018 12:46 pm
Got respiratory illness in last week of Vuelta, so he’s out. Partly explains his invisibility.
Maybe Haig’s or Clarke’s chance ?
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby lone rider » Sun Sep 23, 2018 11:18 am
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby find_bruce » Sun Sep 23, 2018 12:02 pm
Where abouts are these flat sections ?lone rider wrote:The main climb is not that hard, a lot of flat sections, a few ramps near 10% but not really in good spots for attacks to the finish, and the last 1k flattens off. It will be won on the last climb which should suit JA and MK types. If GVA can win on the Rio course I wouldn't be shocked to see something similar happen here.
As I read the course, the intention of the course designers is that the Gnadenwald followed by 7 times over the Igls, (6 laps of 24 k, roughly 7 k up, 7 k down & 10k through the valley) will soften the legs before having to go up the steep ramps of the Gramartboden. While I agree with you that its unlikely to be a successful early attack to the finish, it will be about who remains freshest at the foot of the final climb.
Any country with pretensions of winning should be working hard to make sure GVA & Sagan are dropped before the final climb
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby foo on patrol » Sun Sep 23, 2018 1:15 pm
Of course you do know that when people are extremely, their immune system goes to chit?lone rider wrote:Porte's bad luck strikes again? Nah sorry Richie, you are too obsessed with being a stick figure and don't eat properly. It's a good thing for Aus because he had no chance of winning on this course. The main climb is not that hard, a lot of flat sections, a few ramps near 10% but not really in good spots for attacks to the finish, and the last 1k flattens off. It will be won on the last climb which should suit JA and MK types. If GVA can win on the Rio course I wouldn't be shocked to see something similar happen here.
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby lone rider » Sun Sep 23, 2018 8:00 pm
Its wavey in gradient rather than consistent climbing, the average gradient doesn't show it properly.find_bruce wrote:Where abouts are these flat sections ?lone rider wrote:The main climb is not that hard, a lot of flat sections, a few ramps near 10% but not really in good spots for attacks to the finish, and the last 1k flattens off. It will be won on the last climb which should suit JA and MK types. If GVA can win on the Rio course I wouldn't be shocked to see something similar happen here.
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby lone rider » Sun Sep 23, 2018 8:01 pm
Some seem able to manage it a lot better than little Richie.foo on patrol wrote:Of course you do know that when people are extremely, their immune system goes to chit?lone rider wrote:Porte's bad luck strikes again? Nah sorry Richie, you are too obsessed with being a stick figure and don't eat properly. It's a good thing for Aus because he had no chance of winning on this course. The main climb is not that hard, a lot of flat sections, a few ramps near 10% but not really in good spots for attacks to the finish, and the last 1k flattens off. It will be won on the last climb which should suit JA and MK types. If GVA can win on the Rio course I wouldn't be shocked to see something similar happen here.
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby fat and old » Mon Sep 24, 2018 7:49 am
I'd swap Valverde and Kwiatkowski, and give Sagan a 1 or nothing possie. That's assuming that there's not another Spaniard close in the last 1,000m otherwise they'll probably race each other and come 10th and 11thDerny Driver wrote:My picks, in order...
1. Alaphillipe
2. Kwiatkovski
3. Sagan
4. Valverde
5. Roglic
Uran, as usual my wild card although I'll put GVA in as well.....his win in Rio can't be overlooked and he should be fresh
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby MichaelB » Mon Sep 24, 2018 8:42 am
For a different twist, here is a list of theose I don't want to win, as they , imho, don't deserve it ;
1. Moscon - doesn't understand the way the world works.
2. Piti - talented, but unrepentant doper.
3. Kwiatovski - talented and past winner, but who wants a WC that is a domestique (and brilliant at that)
4. Quintana - Just doesn't inspire me
5. Uran - doesn't have the team and future to use it
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby find_bruce » Mon Sep 24, 2018 8:55 am
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby caneye » Mon Sep 24, 2018 9:12 am
yah .. pretty sure bernal hasn't trained since his bad fall.
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Re: 2018 WRRC - who's gonna win ?
Postby find_bruce » Mon Sep 24, 2018 2:33 pm
Nope, bing is still on the outer, at least for this course. Its not like he has been in contention on 1 day classics with tough climbs like Amstel gold, Leige, La Flèche Wallonnecaneye wrote:will michael matthews be replacing porte?
Porte replaced by Nick Schultz. If like me you go Nick who, apparently he has spent 2 years at a spanish pro-conti team but in August signed a 2 year deal with Mitchelton-Scott. Apparently he was at the Vuelta, where he was more anonymous than a wrong number
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